Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36854350d660445ce187eb0767cbd14baa146907facfda29152c1aa1aa5fd375

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,647 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under	48c	20,682$9,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,789.14	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	15,999$8,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,366.44	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under	48c	4,052$1,931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,120.21	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over	56c	4,000$2,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,229.81	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	45c	3,476$1,554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.91	370	36.2%134 W · 236 L	-18.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x260a…dbf6backed Over	51c	3,061$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,561.11	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8265…8b0cbacked Under	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over	55c	2,802$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…5f5bbacked Under	45c	2,000$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under	44c	999.98$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.99	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	49c	800$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over	56c	535.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	25%14 W · 42 L	-9.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Over	31c	492.58$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…eaadbacked Over	55c	491.53$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.34	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d6…cfb9backed Over	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under	45c	452.22$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.72	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Over	45c	441.9$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Under	47c	213.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.19	155	34.8%54 W · 101 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb0a9…1f13backed Over	56c	212.5$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.34per pick	46cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9701…3917backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over	49c	163.88$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Over	54c	150$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	45c	142.12$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.17	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	56c	126.79$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f4…4dfbbacked Under	19c	116.87$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+81.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	55c	110.91$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Over	65c	106.17$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.33	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9126…1896backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63fa…08ddbacked Over	56c	89.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Under	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	99	41.4%41 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under	38c	82.7$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.41	255	45.5%116 W · 139 L	-18.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed9…2deebacked Under	41c	73.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	37cpaid	+80.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	55c	69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked Over	55c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c2…f58ebacked Under	47c	47.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Over	54c	44.77$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	400	46%184 W · 216 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Over	56c	44.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c46…2d02backed Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	40	60%24 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bd…2ea6backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Over	53c	37.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb3…6344backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535d…6ff7backed Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fb4…4b52backed Under	57c	34.81$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.81	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x808b…48c8backed Under	46c	32.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.56	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+3.8wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Over	50c	31.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb1…baddbacked Over	59c	21.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Under	51c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.57	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over	56c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	160	60%96 W · 64 L	+15.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb60f…1ab0backed Over	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abe…b676backed Over	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5this page
Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Arsenal won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event