TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x260a…dbf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: College Football, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST6648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.6
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117%+$24.4
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+46%+$18.9
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+59.3%+$15.65
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+54.2%+$238.65
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$93.99
Magic vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$575.94
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+34.2%+$25.5
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-68.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$3,000
Spread: 49ers (-2.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,226.72
Saints vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$2,640.2
Will Tua Tagovailoa win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Kyler Murray win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.14
Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12.23
Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.87
Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Travis Etienne Jr. be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.91
Will Kyler Murray be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Will C.J. Stroud be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Josh Allen be the top Fantasy Quarterback?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.54
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.18
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.22
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.53
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.7
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.82
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.53
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid-17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,940
Spread: UCF (-7.5)backed UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,940
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$3,075
UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$466.4
Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$25.15
Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$53.32
Will Jaxson Dart win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$12.27
Will Ryan Williams win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$73.57
Will Dillon Gabriel win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$27.07
Will Tetairoa McMillan win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$29.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$5.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,513Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$814.8
Burnley FC vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,561Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,561.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.05
Bruins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,555.3
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$426.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$716.1
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,101.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,433.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$107.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,882Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$790.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$103.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$116.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.