NFL · resolved market
Will Travis Etienne Jr. be the top Fantasy Running Back?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4aeb3d4275cd97428217a951f5318b952ba8321a62acaa44bde6663518c6dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,726,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,726,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xded6…9abcbacked Yes | 0c | 1,394,124$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…e290backed Yes | 0c | 657,859$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…bd32backed Yes | 0c | 657,859$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed Yes | 0c | 294,608$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…9eb5backed Yes | 0c | 45,288$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…d437backed Yes | 0c | 44,844$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…f855backed Yes | 0c | 43,142$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd4…241ebacked Yes | 0c | 38,265$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…01d3backed Yes | 0c | 29,748$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…1a16backed Yes | 1c | 23,652$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…4992backed Yes | 0c | 21,825$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f09…b474backed Yes | 0c | 21,825$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…0177backed Yes | 0c | 21,825$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ce…3811backed Yes | 0c | 21,825$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,825$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…8b0cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,820$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17b…dcffbacked Yes | 0c | 21,820$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…35e0backed Yes | 0c | 21,820$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…bc33backed Yes | 0c | 21,682$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…fdd8backed Yes | 1c | 19,440$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…c8d1backed Yes | 1c | 19,116$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…8613backed Yes | 1c | 18,792$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b3…a7e1backed Yes | 1c | 18,468$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…4aa2backed Yes | 1c | 18,468$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…8d3fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,144$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…190fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,496$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…13b3backed Yes | 1c | 17,496$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…d1abbacked Yes | 1c | 17,172$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…b550backed Yes | 1c | 17,172$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…cee3backed Yes | 1c | 17,172$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…cdd6backed Yes | 1c | 16,200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…f654backed Yes | 1c | 16,200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…a460backed Yes | 1c | 16,200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…bbb7backed Yes | 1c | 16,200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5399backed Yes | 1c | 15,876$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…7a68backed Yes | 1c | 15,552$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…15f5backed Yes | 1c | 14,580$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…18a7backed Yes | 1c | 14,580$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 10,912$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…b34fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,912$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…dbf6backed Yes | 0c | 10,907$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…bd26backed Yes | 0c | 10,907$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…cd99backed Yes | 0c | 10,907$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…ed53backed Yes | 0c | 10,907$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…ab6ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,907$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…6809backed Yes | 1c | 4,536$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…9a01backed Yes | 1c | 4,536$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…3086backed Yes | 1c | 4,212$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…8829backed Yes | 0c | 3,743$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…c4febacked Yes | 0c | 3,610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…5c50backed Yes | 1c | 3,564$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…359ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,564$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…16a0backed Yes | 0c | 3,513$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…8151backed Yes | 0c | 3,467$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…daf8backed Yes | 0c | 3,420$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…d7cebacked Yes | 0c | 3,380$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…bb44backed Yes | 1c | 3,240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…bf9ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…83f8backed Yes | 1c | 2,916$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…c81fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,916$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…6920backed Yes | 1c | 2,916$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 2c | 2,681$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…9267backed Yes | 1c | 2,592$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…0a3bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,592$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…2642backed Yes | 1c | 2,268$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…d799backed Yes | 1c | 1,944$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…52f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,944$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…179fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,944$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 1,324$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 2c | 691.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 408.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Travis Etienne Jr. be the top Fantasy Running Back?this page
- Will Alvin Kamara be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will De’Von Achane be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Isiah Pacheco be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Josh Jacobs be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Kyren Williams be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.