NFL · resolved market
Will Isiah Pacheco be the top Fantasy Running Back?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8519211cabeacaedd00b8150512d55eea568f2ee0b2eb323c7d9e354017d3081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,461,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,461,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa823…d437backed Yes | 0c | 73,650$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…9eb5backed Yes | 0c | 72,150$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…f855backed Yes | 0c | 70,800$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd4…241ebacked Yes | 0c | 62,700$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…01d3backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…bc33backed Yes | 0c | 36,975$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,116$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…ad96backed Yes | 0c | 20,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe874…495fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…c656backed Yes | 0c | 20,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…d9fcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…cc53backed Yes | 0c | 20,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…4c2fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…feacbacked Yes | 0c | 18,398$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…8f6fbacked Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ce…c8b8backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…4573backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e72…2487backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…d158backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…8030backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…c6b4backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe469…c556backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…e31ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…5a67backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…5988backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5765…10ebbacked Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…a44dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…deb9backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…120ebacked Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f75…da24backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e2…84e8backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…859bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…2e54backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…a871backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…3007backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…4864backed Yes | 0c | 17,236$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…bcdabacked Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…1315backed Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…cb2dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…256dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…19a9backed Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e0…97e0backed Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112d…7080backed Yes | 0c | 17,235$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…2bb9backed Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8732…865fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…5e9fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…0584backed Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…4d67backed Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…8c29backed Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…6466backed Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…86a1backed Yes | 0c | 14,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…d6d2backed Yes | 0c | 14,362$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…2d0bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,362$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…717cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,362$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e87…44b2backed Yes | 0c | 14,362$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…4337backed Yes | 0c | 11,490$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a1…6e7dbacked Yes | 0c | 11,490$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…359ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,309$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…6809backed Yes | 0c | 9,112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa351…d799backed Yes | 0c | 9,107$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…bf9ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,006$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…5c50backed Yes | 0c | 8,039$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…e973backed Yes | 0c | 7,938$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 0c | 7,868$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…9a01backed Yes | 0c | 6,206$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124f…2642backed Yes | 0c | 6,105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…9267backed Yes | 0c | 6,105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…9f68backed Yes | 0c | 5,903$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…c81fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,239$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…bb44backed Yes | 0c | 5,138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…83f8backed Yes | 0c | 5,138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…2b60backed Yes | 0c | 4,171$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…1106backed Yes | 0c | 3,969$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…0a3bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,002$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,937$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 1,448$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Isiah Pacheco be the top Fantasy Running Back?this page
- Will Alvin Kamara be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Bijan Robinson be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Breece Hall be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Derrick Henry be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will De’Von Achane be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?Yes won
- Will Jonathan Taylor be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Josh Jacobs be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Kyren Williams be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will Travis Etienne Jr. be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Running Back?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.