TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,734 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31fc…4e30backed Yes2c27,426$505 inWon+$26,921.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+1,001.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed No0c11,000$20 inLost-$2010334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes1c6,194$78 inWon+$6,115.9413217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes6c4,255$250 inWon+$4,004.562623.1%6 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6837…15e1backed Yes2c2,617$43 inWon+$2,573.791643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+626.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked No12c2,458$300 inLost-$299.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes1c1,667$25 inWon+$1,642.3317248.3%83 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c1,377$15 inWon+$1,362.412430.8%2 W · 241 L+1.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes4c1,317$58 inWon+$1,259.564318.6%8 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+68.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes1c1,126$14 inWon+$1,112.229724.7%24 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x818d…282cbacked Yes4c1,123$40 inWon+$1,083.471330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid+155.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes4c906.04$33 inWon+$872.861809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes10c707.06$69 inWon+$638.34749.5%7 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes2c575.33$13 inWon+$562.3331032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes6c256.77$15 inWon+$241.989022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes4c250$10 inWon+$240368.3%3 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf863…82ccbacked Yes37c141$53 inWon+$88.172152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.