TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1f0…58df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
390
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 73 out of 100 (+0.21 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 73 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L+12.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+218.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.84
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+203%+$47.28
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$95.02
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+340.5%+$281.57
Panick in the White Housebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$71.49
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+99.6%+$238.52
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.01
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,192.32
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24.9
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+376.2%+$529.29
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$319.62
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$59.66
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$59.54
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.92
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+376.2%+$277.32
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+610.2%+$2,749.3
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$299.88
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$149.99
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+2,400%+$282.41
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$1,694.29
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$158.36
Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.58
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$102.98
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3622.2%8 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+72.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$74.91
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$74.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+232.2%+$174.05
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+669.2%+$501.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$74.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$79.97
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+614.3%+$491.06
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$808.08
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on November 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$79.92
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$79.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 40-41°F on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 48-49°F on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+668.2%+$99.16
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+733.3%+$1,817.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.16
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.72
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$74.88
Will Melissa make landfall at category 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+750.6%+$132.27
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$87.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST3522.9%8 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick7cpaid+324.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$3,290.99
Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+488.2%+$64.35
Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.92
Will Target (TGT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.92
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.41
Will Femasys (FEMY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$103.58
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+809.1%+$227.18
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$682.15
Will Wendy’s (WEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$166.59
Will DraftKings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$299.88
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+1,751.9%+$257.42
Will Papa John’s International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21.91
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$317.67
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45.29
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$699.82
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+291.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+809.1%+$101.16
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.82
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Beneil Dariush win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+9,900%+$1,485
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$29.88
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.84
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$2,280
UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters backed Waters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. Bryczekbacked Tavares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.78
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinovbacked Gustafsson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.9
UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.9
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.58
UFC Fight Night: Kavanagh vs. Johnsonbacked Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.8
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Daukausbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.96
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. Youbacked Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.45
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.86
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.88
UFC 319: Silva vs. Barbosa backed Barbosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. Matsumotobacked Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST3151.6%16 W · 15 L+11.8wins+0.38per pick14cpaid+350.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+809.1%+$285.91
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+309%+$952.48
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+566.7%+$435.66
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$1,092.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$398.03
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.29
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+733.3%+$220
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
Will Trump praise al-Sharaa on Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.97
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29.96
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+426.3%+$299.71
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$402.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$359.64
Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+327.4%+$784.38
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$198.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.21
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$257.69
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.76
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.76
Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.34
Will Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+298.4%+$162.91
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$1,606.02
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2548%12 W · 13 L+9.2wins+0.37per pick11cpaid+624.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$299.94
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+817.4%+$4,904.06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+657.6%+$1,972.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$319.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+733.3%+$216.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$470
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+323.7%+$96.26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.95
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$299.88
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$950.66
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+1,940.8%+$705.27
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$352.36
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.74
Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+861.5%+$630.51
Will Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.7
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$1,150
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+1,150%+$3,450
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+4,661.9%+$3,044.54
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.31per pick15cpaid+216.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
World Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$279.84
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+488.2%+$684.81
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$99.12
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$955.31
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+686.9%+$3,898.46
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 25+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+733.3%+$220
Will Jeannette Jara win less than 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+331%+$98.3
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+669.2%+$109.59
Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29.96
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+669.2%+$170.1
Will the JA21 win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+481.4%+$535.98
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+800.9%+$716.08
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
North Korea missile launch by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$294.94
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.89
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.75
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.83
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.7
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+870.9%+$217.3
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.91
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+300%+$690.15
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.41
Will Trudeau resign Today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$251.02
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.28per pick14cpaid+203.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+329.2%+$1,184.25
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+292.2%+$844.12
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+809.1%+$303.91
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+900%+$184.64
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$319.96
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.92
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.06
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+443.5%+$457.04
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.7
Will Russia enter Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.84
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Ukraine hits Moscow by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$451.16
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$542.76
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.98
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.73
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.99
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+387.5%+$92.67
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$869.57
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$273.06
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2254.5%12 W · 10 L+8.3wins+0.38per pick17cpaid+297.3%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$588.52
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.92
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$340.13
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+2,400%+$361.95
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+376.2%+$87.06
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.76
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$599.58
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+488.2%+$641.77
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$137.02
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$233.44
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+334.8%+$100.1
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,696.85
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+376.2%+$434.99
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$299.73
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.06
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$200.14
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$865.45
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$758.25
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+292.3%+$1,045.15
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+283.1%+$377.46
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+9.2wins+0.44per pick14cpaid+420%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.81
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+989.2%+$196.66
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+809.1%+$452.63
Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+757.2%+$1,135.1
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$278.38
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+669.2%+$2,006.22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+334.8%+$258.26
Will Powell say "Tariff inflation" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50.6
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$319.02
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.72
Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.95
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+1,685.7%+$1,011.02
Will no one dissent September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$2,280
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.96
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$59
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.94
Will the ECB announce no change at the July meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+571.1%+$570.17
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+553.6%+$330.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick9cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+640.7%+$669.8
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+325.5%+$265.1
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+525%+$1,470
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$911.84
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.98
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.7
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.83
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.28
Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.82
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
All 15 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick14cpaid+416.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.16
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$49.17
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.15
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$463.53
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.37
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+352.5%+$1,126.43
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+900%+$270
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.92
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$115.04
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.98
Linea FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$71.18
Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+900%+$765.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+565%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+809.1%+$2,264.16
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$299.88
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+809.1%+$191.37
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.64
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$699.92
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+4,066.7%+$1,066.54
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+271.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+809.1%+$228.49
Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+952.6%+$440.53
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$642.15
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+380.8%+$680.38
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$579.94
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 8 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+533.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid-67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+1,835.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arch Manning win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+334.8%+$45.35
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$481.8
Will Ohio State make the CFP National Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+4,900%+$1,730.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,517.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$1,022.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$65.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$131.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIDE World Cup 2025 - Santosh Gujrathi Vidit vs Sam Shankland (Advances)backed Vidit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing – Salt Papi vs. Tony Fergusonbacked Salt Papi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$299.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Keating be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$53.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.