AI · resolved market
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf1339f2fd59ae08ef37e596a310734fd8b6281017734f703ddddaee776918e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 23c | 34,137$7,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,158.88 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 22c | 11,890$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,251.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 16c | 7,000$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.33 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 7c | 6,241$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.31 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 1c | 4,303$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.22 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 11c | 2,405$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.32 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…176dbacked No | 4c | 2,315$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +257.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed Yes | 26c | 2,298$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.78 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 13c | 1,920$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 15c | 1,552$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.77 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +16.6wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 4c | 1,364$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.05 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…1492backed No | 5c | 1,322$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +485.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 13c | 1,280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 13c | 1,280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,214$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,179$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.54 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…e26ebacked No | 12c | 1,170$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…cf42backed Yes | 71c | 1,158$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,144$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +8.3wins | +0.38per pick | 17cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8f59…3b40backed No | 12c | 1,100$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 27c | 1,001$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…cfe2backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…1abbbacked Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 10c | 974.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.37 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 12c | 955.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 53c | 932.61$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 19c | 878.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.35 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…123bbacked Yes | 70c | 872.73$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…fe93backed No | 35c | 854.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 28c | 777.97$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.02 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…9ee9backed No | 29c | 771.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…007dbacked Yes | 72c | 654.66$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 18c | 650.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.89 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc8…a8edbacked Yes | 77c | 646.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…548cbacked No | 6c | 635.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.94 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked No | 2c | 602.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.29 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +413.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 13c | 600$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 32c | 501.67$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked Yes | 78c | 500$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked No | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.49 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 499.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.97 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…572ebacked No | 14c | 429.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +289.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 3c | 423.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 24c | 420.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +191%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 20c | 413.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.46 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…fa2abacked Yes | 78c | 398$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 387.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…e6afbacked Yes | 80c | 359.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…70b4backed No | 27c | 340.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 325.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4717…dab1backed No | 27c | 275.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…465dbacked Yes | 76c | 270$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…118dbacked Yes | 62c | 249.95$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…3ea8backed Yes | 78c | 230.55$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 5c | 224.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a3…3939backed Yes | 54c | 213.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 22c | 206.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cc…5307backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…188dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…020abacked Yes | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 23c | 173.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf022…f816backed No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed No | 18c | 163.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 16c | 151.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…86abbacked Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…f10fbacked No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…0537backed Yes | 79c | 133.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 10c | 132.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed No | 8c | 127.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 71c | 126$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd8…d8f0backed Yes | 11c | 114.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 26c | 104.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…5691backed Yes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…989dbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…6a7ebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…ece1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…c44bbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…1283backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…72d6backed No | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…24f8backed No | 31c | 94.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed No | 21c | 93.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2c…621ebacked Yes | 69c | 92.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…3a48backed No | 19c | 83.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…d915backed Yes | 41c | 73.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…4bffbacked No | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…ee04backed Yes | 52c | 67.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 19c | 64.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6f…d3fcbacked Yes | 80c | 62.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…0ebfbacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed Yes | 68c | 53.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?this page
- Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Yes won
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No won
- Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No won
- Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No won
- Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.