TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cb1…a76c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
853
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 66 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT24954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 249 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$229.99
Will the announcers say "Heavyweight" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$119.34
Will the announcers say "Foul" 12+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$72.89
Will the announcers say "Tenure" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$244.8
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$125.37
Will "Sorry" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 5+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
Will "Vogue" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.81
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+332.9%+$6,934.64
Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$69.42
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$124.67
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$322
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+77%+$35.66
Will Despacito be the first song performed by Justin Bieber at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.18
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.75
Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+415.6%+$475.57
Will Like a Prayer be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.63
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Madonna at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Showing 25 of 249 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT13639%53 W · 83 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+89.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.47
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.01
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.69
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+321.2%+$265.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.77
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+482.2%+$1,239.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$271.57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$467.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+299.4%+$4,033.54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.8
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+140%+$75.07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$1,097.75
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$60.78
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+216.4%+$1,943.74
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+498.9%+$341.61
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$368.39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+169.3%+$155.72
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.96
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9333.3%31 W · 62 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+124.5%+$786.16
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272.87
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$437.57
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+374.2%+$47.39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will "Canada" or "Canadian" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+237.4%+$211.19
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+273%+$1,273.06
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.72
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.77
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$211.48
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+306.3%+$577.44
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST8142%34 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$43.36
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Panick in the White Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.29
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+284.6%+$222
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.37
Will Trump say "Little" or "Liddle" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+115.6%+$166.51
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+959.1%+$545.82
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$206
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$79.93
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.4
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.06
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.6
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+149.9%+$242.57
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+214%+$136.31
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+176%+$43.42
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$87.47
Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.59
Will Trump say "Slopadopoulos" or "ABC Fake News" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump say "Hottest" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$192.5
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5832.8%19 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+328.6%+$229.98
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.62
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.54
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+323.5%+$787.57
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$66.33
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$371.73
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$90.38
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Trump say "King" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.41
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.33
Will Trump say "Boeing" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.44
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+215.2%+$144.45
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$67.99
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.15
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$110.3
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$55.99
New US sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justices by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+151.7%+$537.63
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.6
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$31.3
Will Warsh say "Spending" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.64
Will Warsh say "Innovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.75
Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.05
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.73
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$524.1
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.54
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+400%+$125.38
Will Warsh say "Progress" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$179.75
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+434.3%+$258.81
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.7
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.28
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Warsh say "Independence" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$132.59
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.36
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$55.21
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.96
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$104
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+74.2%+$94.62
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.38
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will "DAN DA DAN Season 2" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.03
Will "Re:ZERO -Starting Life in Another World- Season 3" win Best Isekai Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Apocalypse Hotel" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will "DIGIMON BEATBREAK" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+254.6%+$89.48
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.46
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+142.6%+$165.6
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$103.58
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will Ethan Hawke (Blue Moon) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.77
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$81.24
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
Will "White House" or "Ballroom" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Will Ariana Grande (Wicked: For Good) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Amy Madigan (Weapons) win Best Supporting Actress – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$180
Will “The Woman in Cabin 10” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (October 21)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$256.45
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3339.4%13 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$112
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+107.6%+$239.6
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$162.07
Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.14
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+230.2%+$104.57
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.39
Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+311.3%+$210.45
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+150.3%+$201.09
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$51.15
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.14
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.08
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.43
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+219.3%+$856.08
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$172
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.01
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most total goals in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Goncalo Ramos score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Vinícius Júnior be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.61
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.15
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.3%+$54.12
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+97.7%+$25.4
Will Palmeiras beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Atlético Madrid vs. Botafogo: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will RB Salzburg beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Mamelodi Sundowns beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Flamengo vs. Esperance Sportive de Tunis: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.31
All 24 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$62.15
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.36
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.5
Will Trump say "Helicopter" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+82.2%+$102.94
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+244.8%+$89.95
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.96
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$39.52
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$733.94
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$51.8
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Trump say "Jesus Christ" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$66.93
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$42.9
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$479.16
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$134
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+129.4%+$109.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$70.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.77
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
All 20 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+196.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+900%+$116.39
Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.53
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$83.78
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$228
Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$77
Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+190.6%+$67
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+669.6%+$474.88
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+525%+$84
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+427%+$346.6
Will Trump say "Biden" 2+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88%+$55.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+525%+$252
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$117.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$29.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-85.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.18
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.61
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.2
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.06
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.26
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$70.62
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Will Drake release an album by October 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.06
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+343%+$111.49
The Life of a Showgirl Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by October 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.22
Will Drake release an album by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$87
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120.78
Will Georgia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+203.3%+$87.21
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$372
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-77.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+84.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+136.6%+$179.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$136.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.