Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eacb373992b13599d94ce7bbe72b3e038b40bb5bdc57ad3c7689c6cc3487b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6af2…d102backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fe…6050backed No | 35c | 5,417$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 66c | 3,100$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed No | 1c | 2,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 22c | 1,030$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Yes | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 76c | 761.43$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 62c | 753.71$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 67c | 687.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 73c | 670.2$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 62c | 550$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 37c | 548.77$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 505$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 27c | 414.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 29c | 366$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 24c | 339.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 24c | 329$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 63c | 317.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…94d5backed Yes | 60c | 307.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 79c | 252.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…afb1backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 58c | 239.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked No | 23c | 230$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…b927backed Yes | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…7bb9backed No | 32c | 209.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…69b6backed No | 32c | 198$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…f66bbacked No | 25c | 179.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…b15dbacked No | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…0b7abacked Yes | 76c | 159.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed No | 22c | 159.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 21c | 155.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 125.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…28e9backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 74c | 120.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 75c | 114.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…77f5backed No | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 79c | 103.28$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…e826backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 79c | 83.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…90a1backed No | 24c | 82.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed No | 17c | 80.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 26c | 69.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…373bbacked Yes | 76c | 65.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…310cbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a20…cd91backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed No | 24c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…0660backed No | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…0e0abacked No | 43c | 57.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…cb25backed No | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…5801backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf7…3033backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…ca54backed Yes | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…7b1ebacked No | 40c | 50.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…cb07backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…13c6backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked No | 41c | 43.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…d94cbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbd…261bbacked Yes | 78c | 32.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…9ee4backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…9bf9backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…71a5backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…6419backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…b001backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?Yes won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.