TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43b3…6193

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
446
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
24

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST9756.7%55 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs alohasquad (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$20.15
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.39
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$57.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$56.56
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.1%+$72.8
Dota 2: Winter Bear vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsbacked Winter Bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Valinor - Game 1 Winnerbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.96
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$23.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+145.1%+$118.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.63
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.51
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$137.68
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.36
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.58
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3)backed Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+57.7%+$36.78
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO1)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Most Wanted (BO3)backed Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$25.03
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST4546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$80.77
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.38
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60.7
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.4%+$61.3
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34.98
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$74
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32.5%+$49
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63%+$58
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$57
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+109.8%+$78.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.49
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs LOS (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.7%+$15.6
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.1%+$64.1
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+33.6%+$153.4
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$158
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.4%+$194
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+161.4%+$193.96
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 25)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.2
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$151
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.2%+$32.41
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+95.8%+$50.4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.51
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+35.9%+$89.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+159.6%+$84.05
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$137
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$22.8
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+82.8%+$13.65
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38.75
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo Rockets vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19
NJIT Highlanders vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Radford Highlanders vs. Presbyterian Blue Hosebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$41.31
Boston Terriers vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+145.8%+$59.31
Lipscomb Bisons vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.6%+$73.35
Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$44.05
Charleston Cougars vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.86
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Villanova Wildcats vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+57.8%+$58.6
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$31.8
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$61.6
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Youngstown State Penguinsbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+41.6%+$58.77
Penn Quakers vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.1%+$24.3
Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$26.72
Buffalo Bulls vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+56.2%+$78
Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Tennis Championships, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.81
Lille: Luca Van Assche vs Clement Chidekhbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Paula Badosabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$46.99
Qatar Total Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Elina Svitolinabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$43.7
Open Sud de France: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Geabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Open Sud de France: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Open Sud de France: Pedro Martinez vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Andrea Vavassori vs Hugo Grenierbacked Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.15
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Brisbane International: Kamil Majchrzak vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+488.2%+$441.35
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Egypt win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Algeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chile win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+194.7%+$155.25
Will Cyprus win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Qatar win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Will Portugal vs. Armenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will South Africa win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$189.2
Will Morocco vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Russia vs. Peru end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+488.2%+$249
All 16 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$213
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66%+$260.7
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.96
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.31
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.3%+$26.05
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+62.6%+$15.4
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.24
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111.05
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.79
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$63
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+230%+$532.44
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-79.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.79
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.45
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$144.54
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1600 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$24.33
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50.28
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$172
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$137.19
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.42
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$139.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England Lions vs Pakistan A: England Lions vs Pakistan Abacked England Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.8%+$46.57
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$66
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$69
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+26.1%+$46.5
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 5)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$448.91
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$96
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 2)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$119.02
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.7%+$195
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 2)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+57.5%+$365
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$532
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.2
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3)backed BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57.76
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+37%+$24.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs The Huns Esports (BO1)backed The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29.05
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs RED Canids (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$39
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+61.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+281%+$147.5
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.9%+$277.97
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$77.99
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$112.6
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$172.97
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+222.6%+$172.5
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$552.49
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+51.5%+$50.32
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$31.02
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30.11
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$125.66
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30.64
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Randers FC win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80.6
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
Will "Christmas Gameday: Lions vs. Vikings" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36.4
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$475.75
All 7 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+61.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$50.46
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$116
All 4 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$63.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.1%+$21.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.