TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$393,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed FURIA42c31,779$13,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,431.978446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons58c24,311$14,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,095.5245848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Team Falcons58c17,657$10,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,241.179942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Team Falcons58c14,002$8,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,121.1511146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA42c12,862$5,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,426.11,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed Team Falcons11c12,203$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.583531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Team Falcons46c11,084$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.4710748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed Team Falcons62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA55c6,451$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.9981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked FURIA57c4,615$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.258342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons43c4,505$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.11,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA42c4,445$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,578.241,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons41c4,273$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.714,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA44c4,014$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,267.683,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed FURIA47c3,968$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.0924846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed FURIA41c3,611$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.071435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA42c3,442$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.6213050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Team Falcons62c2,969$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed FURIA42c2,969$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.056934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA62c2,628$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.4933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked Team Falcons58c2,278$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons53c2,125$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.6683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Team Falcons59c1,554$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.3115749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90034146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9929235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked FURIA63c1,406$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Team Falcons54c1,396$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed FURIA37c1,142$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.1610252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed FURIA47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53021846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Team Falcons66c872.73$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57635550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Team Falcons58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Falcons60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90c…0d37backed Team Falcons57c800.03$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons28c709.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.521,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Team Falcons71c700.13$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe700…dc26backed Team Falcons21c700$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked FURIA41c649.39$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.1411443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked FURIA42c615.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d3f…5e3abacked Team Falcons67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc23e…1461backed FURIA71c567.02$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.451838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons60c550$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA43c550$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31128344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked FURIA47c538$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.141,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f87…c701backed Team Falcons57c533$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.811850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Team Falcons38c525.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da8…fe8dbacked Team Falcons60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Team Falcons39c464.19$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3912641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed FURIA47c454.01$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.738749.4%43 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Team Falcons20c440$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.23250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f3…e5d3backed Team Falcons60c436.76$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.342642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed FURIA74c405.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1a…01afbacked FURIA70c400.02$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA60c399$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.658961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa3…76a8backed Team Falcons60c385.77$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1968…bdc9backed Team Falcons35c379.19$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7970%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2997…6c34backed FURIA73c315.26$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team Falcons70c303$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.519247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed Team Falcons9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf72…4893backed Team Falcons26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787321.9%16 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1175…a2e9backed Team Falcons54c300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Team Falcons38c299.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11511558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed FURIA54c284.31$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.783240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons25c275.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.371,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f39…4c71backed FURIA56c266.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Team Falcons57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Falcons19c257.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c6…e75bbacked Team Falcons60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed FURIA42c240.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2436751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed FURIA42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.140048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba9…8920backed Team Falcons73c229.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.874360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Team Falcons50c227.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.679050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Team Falcons10c219.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0532425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed Team Falcons55c218.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.517958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d6…9bb1backed Team Falcons53c215.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Team Falcons34c212.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6936749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Team Falcons55c205.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc423…9a83backed Team Falcons50c202.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Team Falcons53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf2…29d6backed FURIA35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e0…8fbabacked Team Falcons59c199.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed FURIA48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed FURIA74c190.08$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Team Falcons52c184.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0220445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fa…2afebacked Team Falcons61c181.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.955060%30 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa405…fa4bbacked FURIA44c169$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb358…122cbacked Team Falcons60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Team Falcons60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068453.8%368 W · 316 L-22.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed Team Falcons60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21aa…4918backed Team Falcons54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed FURIA50c165$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe63…2de4backed FURIA43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7910857.4%62 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…e796backed Team Falcons56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe91f…a9aebacked Team Falcons56c154$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b9…1a27backed FURIA66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e6…53b2backed Team Falcons37c149.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556050%30 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed FURIA58c147.9$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.765147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.