CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17be217dfbccc1206d1b5222e0b27cf51cae214ef84eb294a25d8ac2ed9d50fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63f9…4723backed Over | 78c | 14,830$11,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 25c | 7,969$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.29 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 22c | 6,288$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.4 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Under | 22c | 5,832$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.82 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 23c | 4,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 18c | 2,123$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Over | 76c | 1,582$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.93 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Over | 78c | 1,200$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 78c | 1,078$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Over | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Over | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 15c | 667.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…4ad7backed Under | 29c | 583.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 75c | 563.5$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 23c | 443.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Under | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed Over | 79c | 398$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 13c | 324.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…cdb1backed Under | 23c | 278.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 79c | 244.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed Over | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5686…7e63backed Over | 73c | 147.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Over | 73c | 137.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 77c | 130.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…7038backed Over | 78c | 128.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 22c | 106.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…81edbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Over | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc3…eab0backed Over | 78c | 58.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad3…87d7backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…6404backed Over | 77c | 44.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…89c1backed Over | 78c | 42.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0c19backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…4450backed Over | 77c | 18.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.