TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa01d…bb78

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$59.8
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.81
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$82.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Dota 2: D family vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked Mentality Monster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$57.55
Dota 2: 4 Anchors and Ilmeria vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked the bug · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: D family vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winnerbacked D family · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.37
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.14
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$250.18
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$129.62
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+224.5%+$57.06
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.59
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$186.57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$47.14
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.85
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$141
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.36
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.84
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.77
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$93.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$42.17
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.02
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$45.69
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DNS vs LOSbacked DNS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
LoL Cross Regional 2026: KRX vs FLYbacked FLY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$68
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$52.2
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$52.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$50.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.