Asian League · resolved market
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-06-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6a0440af47ec3490350aa40698e4aa72b258a1d14230d572e449939b1fee70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,750$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 2,316$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,413$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Yes | 35c | 1,255$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 4c | 965.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Yes | 56c | 698.09$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 37c | 568$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 527.74$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 47c | 408.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 404.84$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 29c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 19c | 375$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked No | 45c | 340$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked No | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 68c | 184.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 160.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Yes | 33c | 148.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 144.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 63c | 130.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 26c | 117.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 33c | 112.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 106.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 64c | 106.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…bb78backed No | 63c | 100.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…aa2cbacked Yes | 37c | 95.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…1739backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…517dbacked No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 39c | 79.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 67c | 73.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 63c | 63.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 62.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 61.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Yes | 57c | 57.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…9b74backed Yes | 57c | 55.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…b203backed Yes | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 39c | 50.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…8355backed Yes | 35c | 49.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 68c | 37.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked No | 62c | 36.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +272%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Yes | 56c | 35.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked No | 62c | 33.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 30.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf77…95edbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 63c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-06-28?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-06-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.