Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a8eddc859b165f00f8542bbcbe0c4086d8abb72a55547445d9b5c3bec3164ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,750$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.92 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,754$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.2 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 1,716$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.38 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,059$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 828.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Yes | 37c | 752.08$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 35c | 450$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…4847backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 353.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 337$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed No | 65c | 284.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 74c | 212$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 169.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 149.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 80c | 139.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 134.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 126$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 36c | 121.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 111.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 25c | 83.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 25c | 83.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 31c | 76.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…0c9bbacked No | 75c | 66.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Yes | 23c | 55.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 32c | 51.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 27c | 42.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 75c | 27.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked No | 70c | 27.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…be28backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 76c | 23.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 76c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed No | 74c | 19.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-06-28?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-06-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.