TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x727e…b35d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.22
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+74.5%+$14.9
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.74
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$105.36
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.08
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.05
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+155.3%+$20.42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+63.2%+$10.74
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.13
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.28
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.3%+$13.72
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.65
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$204.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.83
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU Cougars vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+107%+$22.41
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50.1%+$31.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+65.4%+$13.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+26.5%+$5.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.