South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25744732dd303032ecaa2e98998857e5aafe42f98f82f51ee663eb4a3d44a7de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 63c | 9,158$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 4,857$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.82 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 2,077$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 2,066$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.42 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 26c | 1,522$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,354$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 856.95$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 638.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 20c | 636$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 80c | 627$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 526.36$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 59c | 316.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 60c | 255.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 40c | 248.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 222$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 10c | 201.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 35c | 185.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 37c | 154$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 34c | 107.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 22c | 105$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 61c | 99.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 86.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 72c | 64.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…b35dbacked Yes | 38c | 60.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 78c | 59.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 18c | 55.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…62a4backed Yes | 36c | 38.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 42cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 37c | 28.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed No | 62c | 27.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 62c | 19.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 75c | 19.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed No | 65c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.