South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e008744ba8a1228cec514c931a8a8fcf8b9eae689eff2be53cc974b495c9460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,625$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 78c | 3,020$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,111$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.33 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 27c | 642.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 28c | 600$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…9ee0backed Yes | 30c | 579.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 523$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.67 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 267.95$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 27c | 246.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed No | 78c | 144$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 28c | 139.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…38c7backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…9e4ebacked No | 78c | 115.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 104.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 73c | 80.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 28c | 71.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 17c | 60.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 39.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 76c | 34.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 74c | 32.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 73c | 21.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed No | 75c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 73c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will CA Banfield vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-01-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.