Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x939c2f0d15febd2f1daa82dd7e82d8ebb4b8e2aee1bb02f99f3ad7affe0056d0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $151,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $158,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,476 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x827f…7f59backed Yes	17c	50,672$8,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,614.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	78c	7,528$5,896 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,631.93	582	48.8%284 W · 298 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	79c	5,276$4,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.71	203	43.3%88 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	70c	4,527$3,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.75	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	17c	4,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	19c	3,932$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.25	594	41.8%248 W · 346 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	16c	3,400$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558	190	28.9%55 W · 135 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes	16c	2,783$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.22	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	17c	2,773$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.96	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes	19c	2,222$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.18	93	32.3%30 W · 63 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes	56c	1,709$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.84	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes	20c	1,326$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.93	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No	69c	1,080$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.63	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked Yes	61c	891.91$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	65cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Yes	22c	820.18$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.65	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf25d…bee1backed Yes	49c	819.29$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes	23c	796.02$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.96	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…c3f9backed Yes	43c	770.19$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	70c	684.47$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.04	217	45.6%99 W · 118 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No	76c	678.84$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.5	249	63.1%157 W · 92 L	+45.5wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+63.6%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	24c	670.37$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	219	38.4%84 W · 135 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	15c	624.51$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.31	154	38.3%59 W · 95 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes	22c	599.42$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes	59c	594$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+128.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes	56c	539.2$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes	56c	500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	59c	400$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	17c	399.81$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.97	397	46.9%186 W · 211 L	+9.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	19c	391.73$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.67	375	44%165 W · 210 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc49…db74backed Yes	56c	336.31$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes	55c	309.09$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Yes	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes	17c	300$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	43.8%56 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes	17c	290$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.3	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	17c	280$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.6	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes	56c	268.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Yes	21c	262.41$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes	40c	249.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes	17c	235.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3397…9ec1backed Yes	22c	234.03$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Yes	17c	224.59$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.18	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes	46c	218.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.39	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Yes	17c	217.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.17per pick	36cpaid	+62.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	78c	212.04$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.63	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes	50c	201.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Yes	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	60	8.3%5 W · 55 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes	18c	199.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes	56c	199.98$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.99	95	46.3%44 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Yes	61c	196.72$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	44c	187.81$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.37	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db5…79f4backed Yes	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x478b…24d6backed Yes	19c	184.21$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed No	77c	174.54$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.14	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+73.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes	19c	160.59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes	21c	157.95$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.63	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes	17c	156.18$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.55	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…d868backed Yes	56c	155.61$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df2…030dbacked Yes	17c	146.88$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.97	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc44…5309backed Yes	14c	145$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes	18c	135.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-38%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes	17c	135.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes	17c	135.29$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No	79c	133.33$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+5.6wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	17c	129.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes	17c	129.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab43…e73ebacked Yes	18c	126.4$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	43cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7d…928abacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	29cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaff…41afbacked Yes	47c	117.53$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes	17c	111.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No	76c	110.51$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.24	223	56.1%125 W · 98 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed No	75c	106.27$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.27	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	64cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x447f…d110backed Yes	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…94b8backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…3358backed Yes	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe287…7029backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90b5…ad4abacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed No	79c	99.99$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed No	79c	99.98$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes	20c	97.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Yes	54c	95.19$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe127…fe33backed Yes	13c	94.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+5.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes	36c	82.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	35.5%27 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes	17c	76.47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…d0dfbacked Yes	54c	76.31$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b3…c933backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes	19c	73.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	139	31.7%44 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…03d7backed Yes	35c	65.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes	50c	62.28$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.14	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…a519backed Yes	54c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?this page
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?Yes won
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event