TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf46e…db14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT18863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 188 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Heilbronn: Hugo Dellien vs Max Schoenhausbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.13
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.28
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paulbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.46
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$52.8
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Luka Mikrutbacked Luka Mikrut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.64
Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150.1
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Tigre 2: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.56
Lugano: Mika Brunold vs Marc-Andrea Hueslerbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46.31
Chile Open: Cristian Garin vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$25.69
Tigre 2: Guido Justo vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.92
ATX Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110.26
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+83.9%+$114.04
Chile Open: Francesco Passaro vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$214.09
Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$97.75
Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+37%+$81
ATX Open: Xinyu Wang vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$90.98
Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Showing 25 of 188 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$48.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$103.5
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+52.4%+$52.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$767Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$296.1
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.4%+$144.05
Will Granada CF vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+30.5%+$103.61
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+155.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+155.4%+$173.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$64.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.