Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Juan Pablo Varillas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ae516fc3378243f807f2f2e5de296e0e15e5e11067102f965f193ca72b6963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Juan Pablo Varillas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 9,685$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645.55 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 57c | 5,087$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 60c | 3,967$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.38 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 2,427$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 51c | 2,401$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.82 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 26c | 2,005$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 38c | 1,383$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 51c | 1,286$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 76c | 1,286$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 12c | 1,093$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 45c | 1,070$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 57c | 963.83$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.87 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 54c | 928.16$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.65 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 914$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.43 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 631.96$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 50c | 605$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.43 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 52c | 560.84$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.97 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 49c | 530.35$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.18 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 51c | 494.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 477$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.74 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 40c | 383.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 378.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 54c | 375.39$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 54c | 367.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 78c | 333.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 53c | 284.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 59c | 255.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 242.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 237$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.23 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 51c | 197.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 27c | 196$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 53c | 180.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 31c | 159.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 139.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 47c | 135.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…d525backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 53c | 112.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 63c | 93.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 52c | 81.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 78c | 77.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 51c | 63.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 27c | 63.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 55c | 48.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 45.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 49c | 41.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 49c | 35.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Juan Pablo Varillas | 52c | 25.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…be43backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 64c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.