TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x33f3…be43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
BNP Paribas Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$14.35
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+70.1%+$12.36
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouamebacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+60.6%+$9.06
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jan Choinskibacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.84
Thionville: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kei Nishikoribacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+57.7%+$15.35
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Cristina Bucsabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.5%+$14.46
Chile Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
ATX Open: Peyton Stearns vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.3%+$11.12
St. Brieuc: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Hugo Gastonbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.04
Antalya: Mayar Sherif vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.3%+$9.53
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+76.2%+$17.3
ATX Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+86.5%+$29.28
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+91.7%+$15.3
Tigre 2: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.68
Tigre 2: Miguel Damas vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.1%+$11.06
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.9%+$8.13
All 19 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$5.97
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.1%+$4.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BRUTE vs NightBirds (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked NightBirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.9%+$6.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.4%+$3.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.9%+$4.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.