Stocks · resolved market
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c69159feef34c18c8e4e2ccf6580a5d89a69d0a3834185402138ec13d6952e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,727$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 24c | 2,412$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.53 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 37c | 1,386$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.27 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…4bbebacked No | 53c | 700$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked No | 58c | 498.81$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…928fbacked Yes | 35c | 328.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 42c | 322$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 57c | 285.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 269.83$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 49c | 264.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…e5ccbacked No | 21c | 254.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +382.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…f82fbacked No | 9c | 252.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +978.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 53c | 200.39$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 30c | 169.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed No | 58c | 160.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 36c | 160$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 23c | 154.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 61c | 152$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 74c | 146.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 9c | 136.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…a30cbacked Yes | 49c | 131$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…d8acbacked Yes | 49c | 129$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…82a0backed No | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…602dbacked Yes | 49c | 128$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…d632backed Yes | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…e6bcbacked Yes | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…b7dcbacked Yes | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…11cdbacked Yes | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cb…7391backed Yes | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…c129backed Yes | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b80…ff91backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…b7b9backed No | 50c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…7f3dbacked Yes | 50c | 123$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…4bc2backed Yes | 65c | 123$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…f616backed No | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…8ac0backed No | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…ba65backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…07e1backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…8d62backed Yes | 50c | 118$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…849abacked No | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…fe79backed No | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…fbe2backed Yes | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…f110backed No | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…707fbacked No | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…4fedbacked No | 51c | 113$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4115…6466backed No | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67b…c131backed No | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…c024backed No | 50c | 112$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 54c | 108.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…195ebacked Yes | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 77c | 102.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…d768backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee93…62d9backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…5b25backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…ffebbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed Yes | 78c | 99.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…99cfbacked No | 20c | 97.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 31c | 91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 63c | 89.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…9f8fbacked Yes | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 15c | 81.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…3c45backed Yes | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 42c | 70.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 22c | 49.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 38c | 45.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 36c | 38.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes | 77c | 37.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 31.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 67c | 26.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…52d4backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 56c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed No | 76c | 18.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 76c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…be43backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?this page
- Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor reach $6.50 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor reach $7 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor reach $7.50 in February?No won
- Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.