TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7fe…1e42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
981
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT34457%196 W · 148 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 344 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.36
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$3.05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+235.7%+$38.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+224.4%+$27.61
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+33%+$3.74
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$8.61
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+252.9%+$37.48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+199.2%+$20.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69%+$7.33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$5.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+347.2%+$42.7
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$6.07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.65
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$5.16
Showing 25 of 344 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT7068.6%48 W · 22 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Stocks — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $175?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$13.65
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 16 above $300?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$8.43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+186.7%+$26.04
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Will Google reach $350 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+41.8%+$8.25
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+65.8%+$22.18
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.8%+$12.18
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+192%+$36.82
Will Palantir dip to $111 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.3%+$7.13
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.22
Will Opendoor dip to $4.25 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+110.5%+$14.7
Will Meta reach $730 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+64.6%+$21.9
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37.9%+$7.7
Will Meta reach $770 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.44
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Will Tesla dip to $360 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.94
Will Apple dip to $240 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.31
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+32%+$6.6
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.8%+$27.22
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.88
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT6040%24 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Earnings — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RH (RH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Deere (DE) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.5%+$10.3
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+34.1%+$13.33
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.7%+$41.81
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+146.9%+$16.66
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+247.1%+$49.64
Will Pinterest (PINS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+46.1%+$19.19
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.12
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+114.6%+$29.89
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+498.7%+$81.15
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.5%+$8.63
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.59
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Lyft (LYFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+335.5%+$53.83
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+638.3%+$70.32
Will Datadog Inc (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5764.9%37 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$21.04
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$9.17
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$6.04
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$17.1
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$19.74
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+134%+$14.6
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.03
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$2.96
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$6.94
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$10.33
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$12.61
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$18.06
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.8
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$23.32
Will Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$39.06
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST5479.6%43 W · 11 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.8%+$15.68
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29%+$23.35
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.1%+$30.72
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.6%+$4.7
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.88
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+36.7%+$11.26
Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+32.1%+$17.12
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
Drake Maye: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.28
Mack Hollins: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+107.7%+$20.98
Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$5.6
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.84
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.1%+$16.06
Will No Me Conoce - Remix be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37.6%+$14.41
Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.8%+$7.59
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.8%+$65.26
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.2%+$26.39
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.3%+$13.13
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+50.4%+$36.01
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27%+$5.52
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.9%+$8.42
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.1%+$2.98
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.13
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$9.69
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$24.75
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.66
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.2%+$25.16
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+106.9%+$31.51
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.6%+$32.83
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+95.2%+$21.76
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+127.2%+$56.94
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.89
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.69
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.6%+$16.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+79.7%+$13.58
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.8%+$19.44
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.3%+$13.13
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+29.8%+$9.2
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+39.5%+$19.26
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.75
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.82
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+123.1%+$12.35
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$27.2
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$17.91
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$12.93
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$5.68
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.7
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$25.09
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will "Investor" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$7.54
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.68
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$6.58
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.3
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+151.9%+$16.88
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$6.46
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+74.3%+$24.29
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30.5%+$16.38
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+155.3%+$32.02
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT3759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$13.4
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$8.16
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$3.6
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.2
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.49
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.38
French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+77.3%+$11.48
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.08
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33%+$11.55
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26%+$8.11
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.3%+$3.17
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.7%+$10.68
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+33.7%+$10.38
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.16
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25.8%+$10.98
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+30.6%+$26.22
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.1%+$11.24
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.98
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.6%+$18.07
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.1%+$23.04
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+167.7%+$30.7
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 13m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 53m and 59m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.8%+$14.37
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+54.4%+$27.37
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.4%+$27.74
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+106.2%+$14.42
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+46.3%+$13.3
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.66
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.1
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+34%+$30.07
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.84
Will "Wuthering Heights" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+86.9%+$29.34
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$2.8
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.72
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.64
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Will "Mike Epps: Delusional" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+54.8%+$22.29
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.31
Will "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+123%+$39.34
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.8%+$30.26
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$45.82
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49%+$6.64
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.88
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.94
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+41%+$16.27
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.8%+$7.07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+39%+$3.93
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.53
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.3%+$25.55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.5%+$8.58
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.2%+$5.15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.1%+$11.69
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.6%+$17.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.45
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.4%+$11.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25.6%+$5.19
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+373.7%+$62.66
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Mezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.22
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.42
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+263.9%+$40.61
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+52.7%+$9.66
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.67
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.9%+$7.42
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$16.24
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.1%+$10.42
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+55.8%+$28.68
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+345.2%+$82.43
Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+87.5%+$26
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+365.1%+$47.09
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.7%+$12.93
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$8.72
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.36
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$24.68
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.78
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.5%+$8.48
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37.9%+$15.4
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.8
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.9%+$5.5
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+148.4%+$20.31
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.45
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+89.4%+$33.89
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85%+$15.44
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.93
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$8.03
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$12.02
Will Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$7.51
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$26.6
Will James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$6.92
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+149.1%+$50.67
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.43
Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28%+$4.91
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Will Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+174%+$17.78
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74.69
Will Donald Trump make no endorsement or endorse someone other than Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, or Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+463.5%+$82.04
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$10.36
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$35.26
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$3.86
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$28.96
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$23.36
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$9.4
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.16
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+77%+$12.18
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+32.4%+$3.42
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$8.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.08
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$23.9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$45.86
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$3.8
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+36.2%+$5.65
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+40.7%+$11.57
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with <2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.1%+$21.73
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.15
Will the January 2026 FOMC decision result in no change with ≥2 dissents?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.88
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+140.5%+$30.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+70.5%+$17.36
Will Solana reach $130 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+36.1%+$7.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+45.6%+$13.16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.43
Will Solana dip to $80 February 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.86
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+43.8%+$11.58
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32%+$10.19
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.26
Will Solana dip to $80 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.98
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.92
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.08
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$3.18
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+484.4%+$56.13
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+36.2%+$13.82
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.05
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+39%+$13.48
Will monthly inflation be between 2.6% and 2.8% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92%+$51.26
Will monthly inflation be between 2.3% and 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+68.6%+$49.34
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.58
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.7%+$42.35
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.2%+$24.65
Will Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+86.9%+$13.02
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.6%+$7.04
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 125k and 150k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+60.1%+$7.51
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Tatjana Maria vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.2%+$10.94
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+204%+$24.19
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Gabriela Rusebacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.6%+$15.51
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+98.7%+$20.86
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Petra Marcinkobacked Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Peyton Stearns vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.74
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.4%+$11.34
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anna Bondarbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+232.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$9.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the ACC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+27.8%+$5.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo Bulls vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.