Us Politics · resolved market
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48d5dc070a14eac24e304bf9fa185d584990e79e335046271a11fba6babac6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,694$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 7c | 1,173$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…5063backed No | 50c | 881.54$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 602.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed No | 29c | 564.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 4c | 422.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 9c | 420.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…18a6backed No | 11c | 348.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 75c | 324.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 6c | 285.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…41b5backed No | 9c | 232.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…4890backed No | 25c | 230.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 76c | 208.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6c…6909backed No | 7c | 189.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9fe4backed No | 24c | 175$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 167.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…99cfbacked No | 8c | 146.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 33c | 146.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 10c | 135.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…c1b0backed Yes | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 11c | 119.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…951dbacked No | 9c | 119.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…055abacked No | 27c | 114.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 37c | 114.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…79c3backed No | 11c | 102.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 29c | 98.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…ac3fbacked Yes | 80c | 95.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbb…2779backed No | 22c | 88.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 73c | 85.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b049backed No | 15c | 74.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 21c | 68.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…0978backed No | 35c | 62.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 77c | 56.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…fe18backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6174…ca45backed Yes | 80c | 40.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b5b2backed Yes | 77c | 26.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…cad8backed Yes | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…e963backed Yes | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?this page
- Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
- Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
- Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes won
- Will Les Wexner Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes won
- Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.