Us Politics · resolved market
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd19358059d3d6ff1811e952968e7bd3ef67278af78e3b936fc1802794cb3fa95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 56c | 1,238$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.38 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 57c | 1,131$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.02 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 42c | 233.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 33c | 199.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…9c3bbacked No | 32c | 190.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e19…3eb6backed No | 54c | 182.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…2fe8backed Yes | 66c | 179.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 168$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 29c | 167.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 10c | 145.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 52c | 139.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 17c | 123.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 69c | 90.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 32c | 89.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 29c | 77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 51c | 72.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -9.8wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 32c | 67.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 65c | 61.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8497…a3b4backed Yes | 23c | 52.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…2ccbbacked Yes | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…351fbacked Yes | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…bddcbacked No | 78c | 38.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec4e…d9dbbacked No | 43c | 36.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…4992backed No | 70c | 34.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 49c | 32.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed Yes | 36c | 30.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…4e38backed Yes | 50c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc772…4daabacked No | 58c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 57c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?this page
- Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
- Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes won
- Will Les Wexner Testify to Congress about Epstein?Yes won
- Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.