NFL · resolved market
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33bd10bd16a90a47358398a23899e5bdfa3d9f7f99d50edcb6b6c43f4924056
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked No | 53c | 2,058$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.71 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 32c | 1,167$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.56 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 24c | 1,075$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.7 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…4651backed Yes | 62c | 1,040$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 55c | 781.11$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Yes | 76c | 661.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed No | 30c | 627.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 69c | 572.07$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked No | 45c | 570$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 77c | 532.02$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 71c | 447.47$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…2089backed Yes | 70c | 423$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 66c | 403.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…81a9backed Yes | 70c | 383.73$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed No | 30c | 370$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 63c | 339$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 37c | 332.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 38c | 325.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 53c | 290.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed No | 25c | 283.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Yes | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 33c | 266.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.12 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 76c | 263.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.16 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked No | 39c | 259.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…ca7cbacked Yes | 55c | 258.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 64c | 248.6$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 35c | 248.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…75c3backed Yes | 69c | 247.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…898ebacked No | 43c | 245.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a3c9backed Yes | 58c | 220$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 41c | 215.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 58c | 211.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 56c | 201$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…aaedbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 40c | 190.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Yes | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…2c12backed Yes | 63c | 158.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…baebbacked No | 39c | 148.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…2937backed Yes | 72c | 146$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 141.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…d6cebacked Yes | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 64c | 139.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a5…2988backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 138.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bc…6b09backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 59c | 132.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked No | 31c | 130$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d2…6a81backed Yes | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…2224backed Yes | 68c | 124.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 31c | 122.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 36c | 122.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 32c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…f7f0backed Yes | 30c | 119.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 33c | 117.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4d…ab1fbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 63c | 113.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…248dbacked Yes | 24c | 111.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…25afbacked No | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4932…69c6backed No | 43c | 106.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 35c | 83.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…ec1bbacked No | 27c | 78.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd44…f151backed No | 41c | 72.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…2024backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9a…d427backed Yes | 72c | 68.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Yes | 56c | 68.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…1562backed No | 29c | 68.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +174.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 72c | 67.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…7ba9backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Yes | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed No | 31c | 57.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 66c | 57.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…7414backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8124…938fbacked Yes | 64c | 57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 39c | 55.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 33c | 53.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…f484backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7937…015cbacked Yes | 72c | 47.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Yes | 59c | 46.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2142…e744backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b3…31d4backed Yes | 57c | 42.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked Yes | 57c | 40.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…9d49backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…2488backed Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…8de7backed No | 56c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…6707backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…d27bbacked Yes | 65c | 35.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 35c | 32.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.