TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c56…81a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Olympics, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 51 out of 100; worst NFL at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.17
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.68
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.88
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.69
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$50.79
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$2.72
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.74
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Ramsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$15.08
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.7
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$9.82
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.06
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.91
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+52.5%+$6.06
Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$11.26
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.42
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Denver Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$6.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.94
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.78
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.54
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.2%+$265.87
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$25.14
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$49.24
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33.61
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+32.1%+$22.47
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.1%+$38.15
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+34.8%+$34.44
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-6.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-53.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$268.45
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$18.11
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$173.76
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.56
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$29
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+43.7%+$48.21
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.3
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$57.56
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$33.5
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.28
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$16.2
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$26.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-59.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$33.76
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+36.5%+$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$85.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.