TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Summer League: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Denver Nuggetsof Oklahoma City Thunder, Denver Nuggets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Oklahoma City Thunder34c70,025$23,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,533.5290%0 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Denver Nuggets70c29,488$20,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,846.2626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Denver Nuggets55c11,353$6,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,109.07580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+71.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Oklahoma City Thunder47c10,287$4,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,834.9415850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Denver Nuggets78c5,759$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.1342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Denver Nuggets56c5,013$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.6813442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Oklahoma City Thunder30c4,345$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.3317646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cb…3d72backed Denver Nuggets53c3,594$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Denver Nuggets53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5113544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Oklahoma City Thunder1c2,450$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Denver Nuggets56c2,416$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Oklahoma City Thunder5c2,027$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Denver Nuggets67c1,938$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.153452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Denver Nuggets71c1,805$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.741,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Denver Nuggets75c1,657$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.556437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Oklahoma City Thunder30c1,517$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.8736023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Denver Nuggets53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.4314857.4%85 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Denver Nuggets73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Oklahoma City Thunder9c1,200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Denver Nuggets75c1,125$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.218,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Oklahoma City Thunder2c1,100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Denver Nuggets51c933.23$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.983452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Denver Nuggets77c900$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9914357.3%82 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f4…9efdbacked Denver Nuggets74c878.38$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b46…7437backed Denver Nuggets71c799.98$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6759…1117backed Denver Nuggets60c681.26$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.26560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Denver Nuggets66c653.83$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.231,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Oklahoma City Thunder34c652.24$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc934…215fbacked Denver Nuggets78c600$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Denver Nuggets69c594.13$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7610761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Oklahoma City Thunder14c568.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806734.3%23 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…2576backed Oklahoma City Thunder30c553.09$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Denver Nuggets80c552.42$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3360250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e4…1f69backed Oklahoma City Thunder41c513.76$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Denver Nuggets53c509.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.432744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Oklahoma City Thunder9c505.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414330.8%44 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Denver Nuggets53c501.44$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Oklahoma City Thunder2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101258%10 W · 115 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Denver Nuggets70c482$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Oklahoma City Thunder10c473.36$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.013756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Denver Nuggets60c460.14$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.233053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed Denver Nuggets70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Denver Nuggets69c419.68$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6916664.5%107 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Denver Nuggets53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Denver Nuggets53c347.17$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.173458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…2ee8backed Oklahoma City Thunder31c318.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Denver Nuggets76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1052…c340backed Denver Nuggets68c294.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.929746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Oklahoma City Thunder10c288.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Oklahoma City Thunder25c285.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3257550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Denver Nuggets78c269.16$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8722753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Denver Nuggets72c266.48$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.61862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Oklahoma City Thunder40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Oklahoma City Thunder40c249.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Oklahoma City Thunder38c248.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.428654.7%47 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Denver Nuggets70c244.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.293366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Denver Nuggets70c242$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Denver Nuggets52c231.58$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.161,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Oklahoma City Thunder13c224.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2959743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Denver Nuggets75c220$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.991,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Denver Nuggets70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Oklahoma City Thunder23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Denver Nuggets69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x447f…f362backed Oklahoma City Thunder9c192.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5560%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Denver Nuggets50c191$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.535251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fe8…ac5ebacked Oklahoma City Thunder18c189.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Denver Nuggets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Oklahoma City Thunder53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Denver Nuggets53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687269.4%50 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Denver Nuggets53c187.09$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Oklahoma City Thunder54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d1d…587bbacked Denver Nuggets52c183.06$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.061741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…84e1backed Denver Nuggets60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Oklahoma City Thunder42c176.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2433632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Oklahoma City Thunder6c164.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Denver Nuggets50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7520237.1%75 W · 127 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Denver Nuggets79c144.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.432650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Oklahoma City Thunder20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Oklahoma City Thunder51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Denver Nuggets73c135$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Denver Nuggets46c129.68$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Denver Nuggets53c128.94$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.65257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Denver Nuggets79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.584445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Oklahoma City Thunder16c122.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.577145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Denver Nuggets58c111.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.537050%35 W · 35 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Denver Nuggets51c109.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1442853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Denver Nuggets75c109$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+99.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Oklahoma City Thunder27c100.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Oklahoma City Thunder16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Oklahoma City Thunder22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2265218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Oklahoma City Thunder50c98.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0725954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Denver Nuggets75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.254100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+124.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Oklahoma City Thunder25c95.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d78…f54abacked Denver Nuggets74c94.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Denver Nuggets65c86.26$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.985058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Denver Nuggets77c82.62$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1911364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Oklahoma City Thunder32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked Oklahoma City Thunder27c77.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.054057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Oklahoma City Thunder48c77.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3733356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Oklahoma City Thunder49c75.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.