MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool A: Puerto Rico vs. Canada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb184f3a5c2eb6ecfcf7fa8b1911d80f4e4e824715ed819c27101fd4fd31694b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Puerto Rico, Canada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,176 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Canada | 33c | 32,708$10,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,914.55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Puerto Rico | 67c | 21,709$14,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,594.43 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Puerto Rico | 70c | 19,782$13,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,871.52 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Canada | 28c | 14,568$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,438.93 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Canada | 32c | 8,488$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795.13 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Canada | 34c | 5,533$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,668.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Canada | 31c | 5,000$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.98 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ac…9170backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 4,985$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 3,835$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Puerto Rico | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Puerto Rico | 68c | 3,438$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 3,400$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…b983backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 3,150$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Canada | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Canada | 48c | 2,575$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 2,147$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.81 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Canada | 32c | 1,978$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Puerto Rico | 31c | 1,970$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.32 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Canada | 29c | 1,913$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Puerto Rico | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.55 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Puerto Rico | 71c | 1,623$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Canada | 33c | 1,547$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.12 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Canada | 33c | 1,509$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Puerto Rico | 68c | 1,469$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Puerto Rico | 67c | 1,406$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.86 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Puerto Rico | 65c | 1,215$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canada | 58c | 1,139$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.82 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Canada | 36c | 1,021$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…9091backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Canada | 49c | 898.73$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canada | 32c | 781$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Puerto Rico | 10c | 762.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Puerto Rico | 69c | 725.32$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.65 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Puerto Rico | 74c | 690.33$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Puerto Rico | 23c | 687.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Puerto Rico | 59c | 683.44$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.16 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Puerto Rico | 47c | 643.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Puerto Rico | 70c | 625.71$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Canada | 35c | 619.18$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…4c8dbacked Puerto Rico | 60c | 609.55$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Puerto Rico | 49c | 559$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Puerto Rico | 48c | 535$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Puerto Rico | 58c | 518.48$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.65 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canada | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Canada | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 500$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 468.43$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Puerto Rico | 49c | 409.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Puerto Rico | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c7…06c8backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 387.37$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Puerto Rico | 49c | 343$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Canada | 30c | 315.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 315.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 298.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canada | 32c | 279.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Puerto Rico | 27c | 256.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canada | 47c | 255.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6f…49e5backed Puerto Rico | 79c | 249.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Puerto Rico | 46c | 240.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Canada | 29c | 239.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Puerto Rico | 49c | 237$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canada | 56c | 235.01$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Canada | 50c | 234.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…61fcbacked Puerto Rico | 67c | 234$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Canada | 69c | 232.96$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Canada | 29c | 232.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…6449backed Puerto Rico | 42c | 228.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Canada | 23c | 225.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c626backed Canada | 76c | 223.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Canada | 52c | 212.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Puerto Rico | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Canada | 41c | 208.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Puerto Rico | 55c | 200.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…6fc3backed Puerto Rico | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canada | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked Puerto Rico | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Canada | 51c | 196.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…4b03backed Puerto Rico | 67c | 195.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Canada | 24c | 194$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed Puerto Rico | 29c | 191.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…78a5backed Puerto Rico | 42c | 188.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Puerto Rico | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Puerto Rico | 68c | 180.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 68cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Canada | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94e…bf27backed Puerto Rico | 13c | 167.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Canada | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…40a6backed Canada | 58c | 162.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Canada | 17c | 157.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Canada | 33c | 151.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Canada | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Puerto Rico | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Canada | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…c670backed Puerto Rico | 21c | 147.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Puerto Rico | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…efabbacked Puerto Rico | 68c | 146.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbb…7178backed Puerto Rico | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Canada | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.