TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3e5b…0324

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT12151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$72.3
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$33
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Valorant: Trace Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$113.14
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$101.68
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO5) - VCL Latin America South Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Valorant: Mandatory vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Valorant: Sharper Esport vs Motiv Esports (BO5) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Sharper Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$92.25
Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Evictix vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagebacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$64.99
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Alter Ego (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Group Bbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Jaguars vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+28.8%+$28.83
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+68.4%+$72.18
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$90.36
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$139.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$40.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.