MLB · resolved market
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384d38578275efe91356a13d8dc380315909949ea4d37be692c3053704d90fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Italy, Puerto Rico
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,733 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Puerto Rico | 49c | 26,197$12,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,836.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Italy | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Puerto Rico | 49c | 17,379$8,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,515.62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Italy | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Puerto Rico | 11c | 12,190$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Puerto Rico | 48c | 11,847$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.38 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Italy | 52c | 11,013$5,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.47 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Puerto Rico | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Puerto Rico | 47c | 8,435$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.21 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Italy | 51c | 7,580$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.97 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Puerto Rico | 50c | 7,331$3,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.29 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Italy | 51c | 6,749$3,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Italy | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Italy | 60c | 5,695$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.84 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Italy | 52c | 4,920$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.88 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Italy | 78c | 4,804$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.96 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Puerto Rico | 47c | 4,346$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.56 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Italy | 53c | 3,908$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Puerto Rico | 47c | 3,878$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.32 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Puerto Rico | 33c | 3,790$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…96f2backed Italy | 53c | 3,752$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Puerto Rico | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…354ebacked Italy | 53c | 3,408$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed Italy | 52c | 3,249$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Puerto Rico | 14c | 2,841$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Italy | 51c | 2,754$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Italy | 51c | 2,704$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Puerto Rico | 50c | 2,650$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Puerto Rico | 9c | 2,222$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Puerto Rico | 14c | 2,084$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.21 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Puerto Rico | 48c | 2,071$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.17 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…42d8backed Puerto Rico | 23c | 2,001$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Italy | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Puerto Rico | 4c | 1,998$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Italy | 51c | 1,893$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.71 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Puerto Rico | 1c | 1,640$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Puerto Rico | 21c | 1,602$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.88 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Puerto Rico | 11c | 1,565$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Puerto Rico | 17c | 1,547$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Puerto Rico | 18c | 1,439$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.72 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Puerto Rico | 48c | 1,272$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.65 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Puerto Rico | 50c | 1,260$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Puerto Rico | 48c | 1,259$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.65 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd6…c135backed Puerto Rico | 2c | 1,250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4d4cbacked Puerto Rico | 21c | 1,237$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Italy | 52c | 1,201$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.89 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Puerto Rico | 21c | 1,150$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Italy | 52c | 1,143$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.45 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Puerto Rico | 21c | 1,139$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Puerto Rico | 21c | 1,094$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Italy | 76c | 1,038$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Italy | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Puerto Rico | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…609fbacked Italy | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…19e2backed Italy | 51c | 989.98$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Puerto Rico | 20c | 974$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Puerto Rico | 25c | 951.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Puerto Rico | 21c | 882$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…3eb1backed Puerto Rico | 9c | 879.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Puerto Rico | 21c | 876$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Puerto Rico | 48c | 792.81$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Puerto Rico | 6c | 769.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…af24backed Puerto Rico | 15c | 758.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Puerto Rico | 6c | 720.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Italy | 52c | 693.76$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Italy | 76c | 650.78$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…8d03backed Puerto Rico | 12c | 647.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Puerto Rico | 46c | 644.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.76 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Puerto Rico | 49c | 635.39$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.41 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Puerto Rico | 49c | 602.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Puerto Rico | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Puerto Rico | 4c | 569$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Puerto Rico | 21c | 559$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…150dbacked Italy | 53c | 546.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Puerto Rico | 57c | 529.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…8a13backed Italy | 52c | 520$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…7fa8backed Puerto Rico | 23c | 517.74$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Italy | 73c | 516.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…6c06backed Italy | 49c | 515.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Puerto Rico | 49c | 513$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Puerto Rico | 39c | 508.15$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Puerto Rico | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…b7b4backed Puerto Rico | 50c | 499.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe115…8c0ebacked Puerto Rico | 18c | 458.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Puerto Rico | 48c | 413.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Italy | 53c | 399.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4204backed Puerto Rico | 3c | 398.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…881ebacked Italy | 52c | 386.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Puerto Rico | 25c | 376.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…e1febacked Puerto Rico | 5c | 368.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Puerto Rico | 50c | 366.51$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Puerto Rico | 18c | 362.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Italy | 53c | 358.49$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…014cbacked Puerto Rico | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…b90abacked Italy | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Italy | 64c | 324.55$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.11 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Italy | 75c | 319.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Puerto Rico | 50c | 315.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Italy | 69c | 301.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Italy | 79c | 300.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.