TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4342…5797

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT8960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$25.07
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55%+$11.01
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.54
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$183.83
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$148.5
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$56.21
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+95%+$60.18
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$46.32
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$24.58
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$14.69
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$26.6
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.71
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,819.26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+239.5%+$5,949.77
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,225.92
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$68.07
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.13
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.