MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e1233ec6cf988ef6722aef5ef0b891cb8505e11a2958e4da0304b603f8a64c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Cleveland Guardians, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 99,546$42,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,804.63 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 75,125$43,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,552.45 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 68,194$38,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,323.42 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 43,069$18,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,089 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 35,979$20,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,470.95 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 21,621$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.71 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 21,035$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.66 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 14,894$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 14,227$10,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 12,136$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.24 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 9,914$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.79 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 9,000$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.04 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 8,250$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.82 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 7,746$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 6,618$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.36 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 5,745$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 5,729$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.31 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 5,553$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.83 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 5,412$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.14 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,504$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.46 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 4,342$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 4,109$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 3,946$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.77 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,427$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 3,233$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.04 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…2798backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,890$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 2,702$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.7 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,636$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.68 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 2,555$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 2,357$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,332$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.85 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,081$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.94 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 1,938$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,932$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.59 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,911$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,560$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.39 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,442$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,406$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,334$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,322$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.57 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 1,210$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.33 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 1,210$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.78 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 1,189$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 1,174$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,040$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.65 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 977.19$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 955$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 931.82$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 929.05$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 884.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.34 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 876.89$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…96fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 872.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…db73backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 801.18$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 760.37$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.43 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 612.29$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 588.07$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 583.53$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 551.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 542.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 526.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe1…9f94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 424.86$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 413.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 363.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 339.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 324.1$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 314.8$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 300.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 295$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 291.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 286.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 280.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 278$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 246$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 241.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…9253backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 239.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 236.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 217.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 201.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 201.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.