TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa048…dd23backed Under56c5,704$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,165.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over44c3,780$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,117.042,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over46c3,736$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.8939047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c3,552$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.291,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c2,645$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.435,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under55c2,555$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.994,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over45c2,194$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.952,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c1,874$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.461,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c1,495$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.291,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Over73c1,476$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.962860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under2c1,474$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24756.7%5 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Under55c1,464$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.3748850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over45c1,074$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.9489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301365.9%8 W · 128 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under71c1,002$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Under1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under9c800$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72432.3%1 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Under2c762.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4337143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15498.2%4 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+173.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15834.8%4 W · 79 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over66c624.37$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c619$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.076,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under3c606.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.07395.1%2 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over45c557.35$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5416644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under53c550$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.59538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under31c541.64$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.916936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over33c494.18$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.561,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under7c450$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54619.6%9 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+122.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c354.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c327.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.461,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Under18c325$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.56314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over45c290.1$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5622448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under54c270.33$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9824350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under55c251$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over22c210.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6333515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over23c207.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6554651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under17c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5410215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over28c197.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14399624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under55c185$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.751,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.338455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over23c165.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7347549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Under14c162.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5527.7%4 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-81.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under7c153.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3441836.4%152 W · 266 L-31.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c148.39$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.283,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under53c138.21$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.711,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under78c115.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.982,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over47c104$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.64548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c101.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.034,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…cf70backed Over57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+96.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over45c96.7$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1978454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.689444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c83.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c77.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c67.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.832,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1036…6c9fbacked Over45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.464862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over23c62.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.918444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over37c61.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.195,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d8…85f8backed Under56c57.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.663644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over56c56.31$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7897050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over45c50.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6888053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…36cabacked Over46c48.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under52c48.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under80c44.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.575743.9%25 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under35c38.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.481,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over47c37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6161352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7307…b257backed Under56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.478158%47 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c33.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3229752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under54c33.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under55c32.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Over46c31.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.749649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over52c29.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over44c29.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4627354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under55c26.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.768351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over46c25.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5918751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3255953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc914…78a4backed Under56c20.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.687549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under55c20.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.181546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under54c19.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.523750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.