MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b3ebe0e6f43da8afd45f629c977fc2f0c459d9dc7addc68b8d7a263515d4bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 76,695$41,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,415.39 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 66,573$36,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,986.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 56,992$25,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,345.86 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 29,190$16,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,054.5 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 26,397$11,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,861.52 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 15,102$10,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,808.28 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 12,485$5,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.77 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 12,248$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,793.15 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 12,234$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,935.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 12,098$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,814.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 11,757$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584.11 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 11,706$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,929.16 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 11,104$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.7 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 11,000$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 9,863$5,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,646.79 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 9,728$5,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,414.93 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 8,596$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.56 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 4,865$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.75 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 4,124$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.05 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 4,067$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.93 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 3,464$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.94 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,982$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.89 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 2,854$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.62 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 2,509$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.87 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 2,377$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.81 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…32abbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,347$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,335$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.36 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 2,266$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.74 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,266$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.02 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 2,183$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.86 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,182$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.06 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 62c | 2,109$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.94 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,006$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.38 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,889$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.04 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,778$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 1,680$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.82 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,622$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.16 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 1,533$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.79 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,468$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.45 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,400$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.24 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 1,294$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.58 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 1,250$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.19 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,133$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.43 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 1,129$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,083$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 1,062$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -13.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,006$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.64 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 980$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 973$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 963.4$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 951.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 923.38$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.86 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 900$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.1 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 872.92$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.67 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 871.2$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.62 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 867.6$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.86 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 852.3$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.77 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 754.83$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.07 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 752.33$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.78 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 19c | 751.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 729.75$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79a…39b4backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 714.86$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 674$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.7 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 657$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.54 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 628.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 587.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.18 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 584.51$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.48 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 535.52$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.66 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 529.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 529.88$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.45 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 526.35$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…6fd7backed Minnesota Twins | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…edc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 515.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 476$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 453.25$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 449.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…41dabacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 441.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 419.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.35 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 412.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.35 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 404.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.14 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 397.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.62 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…b295backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 392.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…a6cabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 387.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Minnesota Twins | 56c | 382.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.19 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 380$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.2 | 354 | 49.2%174 W · 180 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.