TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24c5…e372

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$300.26
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.48
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$209.88
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+228%+$436.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$361.79
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$875.7
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$847.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$670
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$169.32
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.04
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Gen.G vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$409.61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$162.64
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33%+$324.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-5.5)backed Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$782.81
Spread: Siena Saints (-2.5)backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43.9%+$894.16
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,040
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+43%+$150.35
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$786.8
Rider Broncs vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Marist Red Foxes vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$445
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,988
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$283.5
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+129.9%+$647.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,306
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.3%+$176.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.