Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Siena Saints (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7078bb91184b7352d9cc3171a15768e6ce26b1dc0714febe5c4116e7b4858306
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Siena Saints, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $723,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 539,775$269,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269,849.89 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 174,500$87,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,221.04 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Siena Saints | 50c | 172,318$86,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,158.8 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Siena Saints | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Siena Saints | 50c | 148,806$74,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,402.81 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Siena Saints | 50c | 71,138$35,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,568.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Siena Saints | 50c | 3,146$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.81 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Siena Saints | 55c | 2,200$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Siena Saints | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.95 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 1,660$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 43c | 1,408$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.58 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Siena Saints | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Siena Saints | 53c | 650.25$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.62 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Siena Saints | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Siena Saints | 52c | 517.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 489$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Siena Saints | 53c | 402.9$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 351$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Siena Saints | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…e372backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Siena Saints | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Siena Saints | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Siena Saints | 53c | 162.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Siena Saints | 51c | 144.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Siena Saints | 53c | 125.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Siena Saints | 51c | 105.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Siena Saints | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Siena Saints | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Siena Saints | 51c | 83.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Siena Saints | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Siena Saints | 53c | 75.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Siena Saints | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 57.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 56.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Siena Saints | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Siena Saints | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 53c | 33.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Siena Saints | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Siena Saints | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Siena Saints | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Siena Saints (-2.5)this page
- Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's MountaineersSiena Saints won
- Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.