Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fff72e11947b22b7bf9ba0381ac35e1ebe20aa4318f69aed7db190d3f403f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Siena Saints, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 16c | 1,794$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 1,295$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 1,130$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 1,081$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 27c | 998.04$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.55 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 18c | 794.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.66 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Siena Saints | 77c | 739.39$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 731$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 631.33$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 15c | 604.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 60c | 559.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Siena Saints | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 20c | 475$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 22c | 430$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 14c | 342.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 21c | 304.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Siena Saints | 64c | 232.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 16c | 215.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Siena Saints | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 193$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 16c | 172$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 21c | 147$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 18c | 134$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Siena Saints | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 19c | 91.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Siena Saints | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 74.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Siena Saints | 77c | 42.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Siena Saints | 60c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Siena Saints | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b908backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 42c | 25.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…82edbacked Siena Saints | 58c | 25.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 60c | 24.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…3964backed Siena Saints | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-2.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.