TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06ed…b908

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.79
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.77
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+150%+$19.98
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.72
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.78
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+185.7%+$22.84
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.6
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.51
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$19.66
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Suns vs. Netsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.74
Magic vs. Grizzliesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$14.57
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.8
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.09
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.47
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5.96
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.02
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texansbacked Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.58
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.17
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.47
Rhode Island Rams vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Cornell Big Red vs. Brown Bearsbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.87
Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.67
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Fairfield Stagsbacked Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.87
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.7
Siena Saints vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.76
Richmond Spiders vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.09
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.11
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$23.54
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Malmoe vs. Brynaesbacked Brynaes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.