TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jacksonville State Gamecocksof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce99…637ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders53c5,510$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders3c1,431$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.42,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c1,238$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders54c1,072$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9916755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c1,059$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.134,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders25c1,053$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders34c1,000$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5143450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks44c799.98$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.442,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks79c603$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.812,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks50c600$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks55c552.54$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.323,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.911,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c456.92$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders56c358.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders24c349.41$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.851,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders10c333$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.582,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c304$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.081,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks67c280.2$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.948051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2219555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks43c218$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2672248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks76c217.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.483,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c191.11$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1150546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders37c160$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.22030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders54c112.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.554,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3821443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks46c100.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2413735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders50c80.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks78c61.47$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7357335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks42c51.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…462fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.534947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.59144%40 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c49.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders56c48.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0918654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e82…47d5backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.213350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6721252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6760548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.144641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks45c30.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.612,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c26.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c25.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d78…e011backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders53c24.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x319d…6f66backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c24.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c23.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.410058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06ed…b908backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders53c21.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f8…f29cbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks47c21.55$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114170.7%29 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.