Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e205d970b99e2c3c7a497431a2ae843e1361403b029051423cb69f5a71208ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 11,090$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.26 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 9,851$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 2,687$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.91 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 2,110$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.7 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,809$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 46c | 1,461$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 46c | 1,261$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 962.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.36 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 49c | 733.78$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.54 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 579.86$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.07 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Over | 47c | 554.66$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 291.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 275$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 47c | 212.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 48c | 206.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 49c | 204.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 113.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 55c | 107.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 54c | 103.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 55c | 81.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks: O/U 134.5this page
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.