Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e3dc550da1d7f3802e065057114372aee0738479b90e443dae87fa97c9687a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof Richmond Spiders, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Richmond Spiders | 67c | 2,473$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Richmond Spiders | 2c | 883.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 800.18$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.83 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 785.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.01 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Elon Phoenix | 37c | 691.36$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.55 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Richmond Spiders | 60c | 673.05$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Elon Phoenix | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Richmond Spiders | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Richmond Spiders | 72c | 334$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Elon Phoenix | 38c | 319.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.33 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Richmond Spiders | 62c | 301.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Richmond Spiders | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Richmond Spiders | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 273.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 260$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Elon Phoenix | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 198.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Richmond Spiders | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix | 36c | 139.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Richmond Spiders | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elon Phoenix | 37c | 124$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elon Phoenix | 22c | 118.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Elon Phoenix | 38c | 112.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 104$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Richmond Spiders | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed Richmond Spiders | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Elon Phoenix | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Richmond Spiders | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elon Phoenix | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Elon Phoenix | 40c | 75.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…6887backed Richmond Spiders | 68c | 73.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Richmond Spiders | 61c | 69.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Elon Phoenix | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders | 60c | 63.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Elon Phoenix | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Richmond Spiders | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Richmond Spiders | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed Richmond Spiders | 67c | 49.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…8161backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 49.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Richmond Spiders | 59c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Elon Phoenix | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Richmond Spiders | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Elon Phoenix | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ed…b908backed Richmond Spiders | 67c | 34.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…c03ebacked Elon Phoenix | 33c | 34.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Richmond Spiders | 64c | 31.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Richmond Spiders | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Richmond Spiders | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Richmond Spiders | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Richmond Spiders | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Richmond Spiders | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Richmond Spiders | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Richmond Spiders | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.