TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa175…fd34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.16
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.93
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.28
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.09
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.23
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32.94
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.63
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+284.6%+$46.96
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+455.6%+$79.13
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.14
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.69
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.39
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$30.09
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+37%+$5.33
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Butler Bulldogsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.77
UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Richmond Spiders vs. Elon Phoenixbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$33.12
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$24.14
Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.24
Iona Gaels vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.83
Oregon Ducks vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.09
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$13.63
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.87
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Lindenwood Lionsbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+40.5%+$5.29
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.01
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.