MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf478c4fea0fac0e17181d57b0b73f0eb5d6c832e9bf53596e9db665d3420473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Mets, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $368,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 54c | 240,411$129,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,726.62 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 46c | 154,511$71,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,074.97 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 46c | 47,885$22,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,026.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 48c | 20,156$9,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,671.61 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Reds | 52c | 19,729$10,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,469.96 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 74c | 9,650$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Mets | 47c | 8,361$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.44 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 59c | 7,217$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.97 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 72c | 5,829$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.51 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 21c | 5,214$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 38c | 3,974$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.46 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.74 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 74c | 1,843$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 55c | 1,154$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Reds | 54c | 927.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 49c | 816$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 52c | 686.68$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.61 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 54c | 624$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 49c | 552.47$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 52c | 522.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 42c | 498.03$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mets | 48c | 404.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Reds | 51c | 388$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.12 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Reds | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 52c | 288.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.07 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Reds | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Reds | 73c | 243.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Mets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 53c | 205.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mets | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…7beabacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…5866backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…c4ddbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…b05ebacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…feabbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…b430backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…68fabacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…6457backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…01e4backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…f10dbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…4932backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…3f1bbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…71f1backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…811abacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…5f74backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…78cabacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…84dabacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf5…65f8backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff6…702cbacked Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…485cbacked Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…8886backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…3d74backed Reds | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…bb14backed Mets | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.