Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCF Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a6f01ecaf56d1b7dd2c8a104c0e7e734c7ed95ca4a8c434f65b95db7f2bfb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCF Knightsof Pittsburgh Panthers, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 2,881$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCF Knights | 47c | 2,316$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.38 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UCF Knights | 48c | 2,242$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.58 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCF Knights | 59c | 1,778$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 40c | 1,756$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 1,389$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.55 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 41c | 921.54$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCF Knights | 79c | 552.18$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 56c | 535$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed UCF Knights | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 419.53$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 17c | 402$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 54c | 315.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.11 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked UCF Knights | 46c | 315.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UCF Knights | 57c | 286.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked UCF Knights | 64c | 269.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.73 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed UCF Knights | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 16c | 210.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 200.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCF Knights | 61c | 199.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 179.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 52c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked UCF Knights | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed UCF Knights | 60c | 99.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked UCF Knights | 57c | 93.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UCF Knights | 73c | 87.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 86.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCF Knights | 44c | 73.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked UCF Knights | 55c | 67.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed UCF Knights | 47c | 66.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 37c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 26c | 54.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…2b37backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 56c | 52.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e1…1fbabacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 50.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…6a5cbacked UCF Knights | 47c | 47.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked UCF Knights | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…561fbacked UCF Knights | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…0bd6backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed UCF Knights | 55c | 38.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…4fddbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 33.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked UCF Knights | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…3d48backed UCF Knights | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked UCF Knights | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…2cd0backed UCF Knights | 47c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…fd34backed UCF Knights | 47c | 25.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc728…42efbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 53c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…702cbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 63c | 23.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed UCF Knights | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.