TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeea6…4fdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.22
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.73
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.55
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.49
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$5.68
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.95
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.04
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.45
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+354.5%+$53.11
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+316.7%+$47.75
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.95
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+122.2%+$15.29
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.26
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friarsbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.53
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.44
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.01
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.73
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.17
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.79
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+79.7%+$14.34
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+194.1%+$20.51
Troy Trojans vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.71
SIUE Cougars vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.56
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. UCF Knightsbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.88
Vermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.15
Cornell Big Red vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.11
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.3
Penguins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marlinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Mariners vs. Bravesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$10.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.39
Counter-Strike: 500 vs Dynamo Eclot (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Titans vs. Raidersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.