NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0555503296390b35358d63e270158dbe5892239bb9f4d46eae9e0ed26e7a783b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $995,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,042,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $995,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Kings | 22c | 174,152$37,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,894.13 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 23c | 107,438$24,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,422.43 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 78c | 82,075$64,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,073.42 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 78c | 40,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 77c | 25,899$19,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006.79 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 22c | 25,164$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.15 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 1c | 21,776$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 22c | 19,945$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.88 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 78c | 17,593$13,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings | 6c | 16,559$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 7c | 16,069$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…e626backed Pistons | 77c | 15,700$12,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Kings | 1c | 15,010$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Pistons | 78c | 15,003$11,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.66 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Kings | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Kings | 23c | 13,056$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Pistons | 78c | 13,000$10,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.1 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.51 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 0c | 12,721$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings | 7c | 11,048$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.89 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons | 77c | 10,767$8,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.28 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 4c | 10,428$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.39 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons | 77c | 10,413$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.32 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 10,306$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kings | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…5e5fbacked Pistons | 77c | 9,500$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 23c | 9,150$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Pistons | 78c | 8,700$6,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Kings | 16c | 8,515$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.68 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 78c | 8,460$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kings | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 6c | 7,907$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.12 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Kings | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pistons | 79c | 6,992$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.28 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 78c | 5,881$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.61 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Kings | 24c | 5,555$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Kings | 24c | 5,424$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.08 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pistons | 80c | 5,170$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.09 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 8c | 4,914$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Kings | 0c | 4,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Pistons | 78c | 4,464$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.02 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9daa…5fb4backed Kings | 1c | 4,258$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Kings | 1c | 4,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Kings | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Kings | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Kings | 4c | 4,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…0908backed Kings | 6c | 3,885$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Kings | 5c | 3,620$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 8c | 3,514$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings | 22c | 3,300$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Kings | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Kings | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Kings | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 1c | 2,603$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 77c | 2,566$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Pistons | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Kings | 18c | 2,553$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.29 | 282 | 49.6%140 W · 142 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Pistons | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Kings | 23c | 2,245$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.46 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 8c | 2,209$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 78c | 2,148$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.56 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Kings | 1c | 2,068$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Pistons | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 0.7%3 W · 417 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Kings | 23c | 1,800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Kings | 23c | 1,725$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.18 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…1856backed Kings | 12c | 1,690$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 79c | 1,586$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.65 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pistons | 75c | 1,500$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kings | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kings | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…b40ebacked Kings | 11c | 1,408$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.18 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 7c | 1,369$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kings | 22c | 1,350$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons | 77c | 1,316$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.76 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Kings | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Kings | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Kings | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings | 22c | 1,200$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…7bb4backed Kings | 23c | 1,150$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Kings | 15c | 1,094$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons | 77c | 1,044$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Pistons | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…3156backed Kings | 10c | 999.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 503 | 38.4%193 W · 310 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Kings | 9c | 979.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Kings | 9c | 936.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 11c | 914.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Kings | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Kings | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Kings | 5c | 897.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 77c | 876$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kings | 24c | 867$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kings | 5c | 848$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kings | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Pistons | 77c | 800$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Kingsthis page
- Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.