NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9785d7a352223df23bd01d1e9685cbb3fb34a2462d6695b83c7870d5362561b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 27,043$14,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,297.98 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 53c | 16,733$8,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,801.34 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 15,904$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.26 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 8,374$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 4,544$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 47c | 4,347$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.71 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 3,706$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 47c | 3,297$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.41 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,275$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.51 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,694$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 47c | 2,587$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.1 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 2,332$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 47c | 1,959$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.35 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…4186backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.61 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,039$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.59 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 41c | 830.07$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.63 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 47c | 639$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.67 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 611.14$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 47c | 596$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Over | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 399.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 49c | 155.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 143.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 83.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Over | 47c | 66.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…4d96backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…3ba8backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 46c | 27.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Over | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 51c | 20.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 227.5this page
- Pistons vs. KingsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.