TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e94…4186

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$71.65
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.01
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.04
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.38
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+67.9%+$28.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42%+$42.02
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+48%+$23.98
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+72.4%+$33.31
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+49.3%+$23.1
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+61.3%+$33.04
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+53.3%+$67.03
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+41.5%+$11.65
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$82.43
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+129.7%+$66.43
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$48.33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$97.72
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$102.39
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$80.19
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$59.52
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.72
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.88
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+156.4%+$305
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$715
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$429.8
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$470
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+163.2%+$620
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+150%+$600
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$360
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+85.2%+$506
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$106
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$151
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$294.55
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$569.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$147
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$637
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Salzburg beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$21.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.